Bridging The Divide: Governing AI in a World of Fragmented Interests

Bridging The Divide: Governing AI in a World of Fragmented Interests

Bridging The Divide: Governing AI in a World of Fragmented Interests

12 August 2025, NIICE Commentary 11600
Madhurjya Pratim Sarmah

Artificial Intelligence is rapidly changing our world. It’s not just about technology, it’s about people. It’s about how we connect and how we understand each other. In the delicate world of diplomacy, AI is starting to play a truly transformative role. It’s breaking down old barriers of language and culture. This technology offers new pathways for communication. Diplomats are finding new ways to speak across divides. The goal is always to enhance understanding, and AI is becoming a powerful new tool in this quest for common ground. It promises a future where fewer messages are lost in translation. One of AI’s most immediate impacts is on language itself. For centuries, diplomats relied on human translators. This process, while essential, could be slow and sometimes imperfect. Now, AI-powered translation tools offer near-instantaneous communication.

If we imagine a world leader speaking, and their words appear as text in multiple languages almost simultaneously. This is no longer science fiction. This capability allows for more direct dialogue. It can speed up negotiations. It can also help diplomats grasp the sentiment, reducing the risk of misunderstandings that can escalate tensions between nations.

Beyond word-for-word translation, AI is helping us understand cultural nuances. AI tools can analyse text and speech for sentiment. They can identify subtle emotional cues that might be missed by a non-native speaker. This is crucial in diplomacy. A poorly understood idiom or a misread tone can derail sensitive talks. By providing insights into how messages are likely to be received, AI can help diplomats craft their communications more effectively. They can build rapport and avoid unintentional offence. This leads to more constructive and empathetic conversations, which are the bedrock of successful international relations. Ultimately, this enhanced communication fosters greater understanding. When diplomats communicate more clearly and quickly, they can build trust. It provides a bridge to historically separated nations. 

By improving how we talk to each other, AI holds the potential to make our world smaller and hopefully a little more peaceful. This is a significant step forward for global dialogue. Diplomacy has always been about looking ahead. It’s about anticipating challenges before they become a full-blown crisis. Today, AI is offering diplomats a new kind of foresight. AI systems can process enormous amounts of data. They can sift through news reports, economic indicators, social media chatter and historical trends. They do this at a speed and scale no human team could ever match. This analytical power allows AI to identify patterns and predict potential flashpoints. It can detect faint signals of an approaching storm, giving leaders a chance to prepare or even to divert it

Let us consider the practical application of this predictive power. AI algorithms can be trained to forecast resource scarcity. They can predict which region might face drought or food shortages, potentially leading to instability. AI can analyse satellite imagery and communication patterns to predict refugee flows. It can identify early signs of political unrest or rising ethnic tensions.

These are not just abstract predictions. They are actionable intelligence. This information allows governments and international organisations to intervene proactively. They can offer aid, mediate disputes, or apply diplomatic pressure before a situation deteriorates beyond control, saving lives and resources. This ability to foresee challenges shifts diplomacy from a reactive stance to a proactive one. For too long, the international community has been forced to respond to crises after they erupt. This often means dealing with immense human suffering and complex, entrenched conflicts. AI offers the possibility of getting ahead of the curve.

Furthermore, AI can help diplomats understand the complex web of actors in any given situation. This is invaluable for crafting effective diplomatic strategies. Knowing who to talk to and what leverage points exist can make the difference between success and failure in international relations. AI can also play a crucial role in monitoring the implementation of peace agreements or ceasefires. AI-powered sensors and data analysis systems can provide objective, verifiable information about compliance. This can help to build trust between former adversaries. 

The need of the hour for nations is to cooperate and establish common standards and guidelines for the proliferation and use of AI. The problem lies in promoting innovation in Artificial Intelligence while instituting regulations for its development and utilisation to mitigate risks and ensure public trust. Nations must come together to discuss the ethical implications of AI. They need to forge common understandings on what constitutes acceptable use, especially concerning military applications and surveillance. This could take the form of new treaties, codes of conduct, or shared principles. The goal is to prevent a dangerous escalation of AI capabilities without oversight. We need to ensure that AI is developed and used in a way that aligns with international law and fundamental human values, promoting peace rather than conflict.

Madhurjya Pratim Sarmah is a Research Intern at NIICE & he has completed his Master of Arts in Defence and Strategic Studies at the Central University of Gujarat, India. 

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