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Event Report

The Nepal Institute for International Cooperation and Engagement recently hosted a thought-provoking lecture featuring Dr. Dan Schueftan, a distinguished speaker, who delved into the intricacies of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and broader Middle East-Western relations. The event aimed to dispel misperceptions and foster a more informed approach to global affairs.

Dr. Schueftan initiated the discussion by highlighting the challenges associated with strategic thinking, shedding light on the tendency of the West to overlook cultural influences, particularly in the Middle East. In the context of the Russia-Ukraine war, he criticized Western assumptions about interdependence, international law, and the efficacy of the "International Community." According to him, the Western reluctance to bolster its defences, evident in small armies and low preparedness, contributed to the surprise surrounding the outbreak of the conflict.

Transitioning to the Middle East, Dr. Schueftan critiqued the simplistic belief that economic progress and the resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict would automatically lead to a more democratic and stable region. He emphasized the paramount importance of understanding the impact of culture on Middle Eastern societies and cautioned against harbouring unrealistic expectations.

Dr. Schueftan pointed out that the Arab Spring, initially seen as a harbinger of democratization, often resulted in the rise of forces worse than the previous regimes. This led him to advocate for a more realistic assessment of the cultural dynamics in the region, acknowledging that while cultural change is possible, it may not necessarily lead to pluralism.

Dr. Schueftan called for a nuanced understanding of cultures, realistic expectations, and strategic thinking in addressing geopolitical challenges in both Europe and the Middle East. The lecture sought to rectify misperceptions and encourage a more informed and pragmatic approach to global affairs.

The discussion also touched upon Israel's geopolitical role, with Dr. Schueftan emphasizing the nation's strength in the Middle East and its strategic alignment with certain Arab states against common threats. While not a direct player in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Israel's stance is influenced by various factors, including its relationship with Russia, historical caution in confronting Russia directly, and a commitment to supporting international norms and respecting borders.

The speaker advocated for comprehensive sanctions targeting individuals rather than imposing broad measures affecting the Russian people. He encouraged military assistance to Ukraine, citing the importance of demonstrating the Russian army's failure to the Russian people. Commending the United States for providing substantial military aid to Ukraine, Dr. Schueftan emphasized the interconnectedness of global issues, linking Russian aggression in Ukraine to Chinese actions in Taiwan and Iranian activities in the Middle East.

Addressing questions about Russia, Dr. Schueftan suggested that Putin's aggression in Ukraine could lead to domestic unrest, potentially challenging his regime's control. The discussion concluded with reflections on the evolving geopolitical landscape and the necessity of a more realistic approach to international relations.

In conclusion, the event provided valuable insights into the complexities of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, emphasizing the need for a nuanced understanding of cultural influences and realistic expectations in addressing global challenges. Dr. Dan Schueftan's perspectives contributed to a more informed discourse on the geopolitical realities shaping the current international landscape.

Prepared by Suraj Sharma, NIICE Intern